When Will COVID-19 End Data-Driven Estimation of End Dates (as of April 25, 2020, daily updated)
SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model is regressed with data from different countries to estimate the pandemic life cycle curves and predict when the pandemic might end in respective countries and the world, with codes from Milan Batista and data from Our World in Data. Theory and methodology are described in “Luo, Jianxi (2020) When Will COVID-19 End? Data-Driven Prediction.” This web page lists the predictions for 28 countries. Predictions of 131 countries can be downloaded here (for figures) and here (for alternative end date estimations).
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